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	<title>Comments on: Where Will Home Prices Go From Here?</title>
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		<title>By: Wrinkly Dollar</title>
		<link>http://wrinklydollar.com/2009/04/where-will-home-prices-go-from-here/comment-page-1/#comment-22</link>
		<dc:creator>Wrinkly Dollar</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 26 Apr 2009 00:40:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wrinklydollar.com/?p=31#comment-22</guid>
		<description>Coupon Trunk: I recall doing some research that showed US national home prices peaking a little over 4x median incomes.  Maybe I&#039;ll post about it.  The National Association of Realtor&#039;s Affordability Index uses this ratio.

You bring up a good point about the last 8 years seeing home prices skyrocket.  The economist Robert Shiller produces a telling graph of home prices over the past 100 years.  It shows very clearly how out-of-whack the recent runup in prices has been.
(2nd bullet) - http://www.irrationalexuberance.com/

 I agree with your last sentiment too.  Unfortunately, financial memory is quite fickle for most.  But I think this bubble was so bad that 15 or 20 years won&#039;t be enough time to make a change.  I still hear people telling me they would rather &quot;put money into their own home than throw it away on rent&quot; regardless of the economics behind it.  Would you want to &quot;put money into your own home&quot; if you knew it was going to drop 10% in value?  20%?  50%?

I think attitudes regarding a home as a surefire investments are going to change over the next several years and stay that way for a long time.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Coupon Trunk: I recall doing some research that showed US national home prices peaking a little over 4x median incomes.  Maybe I&#8217;ll post about it.  The National Association of Realtor&#8217;s Affordability Index uses this ratio.</p>
<p>You bring up a good point about the last 8 years seeing home prices skyrocket.  The economist Robert Shiller produces a telling graph of home prices over the past 100 years.  It shows very clearly how out-of-whack the recent runup in prices has been.<br />
(2nd bullet) &#8211; <a href="http://www.irrationalexuberance.com/" rel="nofollow">http://www.irrationalexuberance.com/</a></p>
<p> I agree with your last sentiment too.  Unfortunately, financial memory is quite fickle for most.  But I think this bubble was so bad that 15 or 20 years won&#8217;t be enough time to make a change.  I still hear people telling me they would rather &#8220;put money into their own home than throw it away on rent&#8221; regardless of the economics behind it.  Would you want to &#8220;put money into your own home&#8221; if you knew it was going to drop 10% in value?  20%?  50%?</p>
<p>I think attitudes regarding a home as a surefire investments are going to change over the next several years and stay that way for a long time.</p>
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		<title>By: Coupon Trunk</title>
		<link>http://wrinklydollar.com/2009/04/where-will-home-prices-go-from-here/comment-page-1/#comment-21</link>
		<dc:creator>Coupon Trunk</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 25 Apr 2009 10:22:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wrinklydollar.com/?p=31#comment-21</guid>
		<description>I believe that historical the average home price was about 6 times the median income for just about about any area, and the last 8 years saw prices rising faster than any time in history.  I think we have yet to hit bottom on house prices.

I couldn&#039;t understand how people were affording to buy homes at the prices they were going for well before the peak, as I suspected many people didn&#039;t have the income to afford their current payments let alone the readjusted payments.  

All this is a painful moment financially for many people, most of us have a very short memory and I think we amy see the same problem in 15 to 20 years.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I believe that historical the average home price was about 6 times the median income for just about about any area, and the last 8 years saw prices rising faster than any time in history.  I think we have yet to hit bottom on house prices.</p>
<p>I couldn&#8217;t understand how people were affording to buy homes at the prices they were going for well before the peak, as I suspected many people didn&#8217;t have the income to afford their current payments let alone the readjusted payments.  </p>
<p>All this is a painful moment financially for many people, most of us have a very short memory and I think we amy see the same problem in 15 to 20 years.</p>
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